Why Football Stats Can’t Be Trusted! | Explained

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Here at FD, we’re known for our use of stats, but just as there are bad opinions out there, there are bad stats too. While shots and expected goals are more common than they used to be, that doesn’t mean they’re always used correctly, and more important than having the information is knowing what to do with it.

So on today’s FD Explained, we’re digging into various stats, from xG to conversion rate to touches, to see what the numbers can tell you and what they can’t. Along the way, we’ll examine why even Messi has off-days; why Ronaldo isn’t as good a finisher as some people believe; why Mason Greenwood has stopped scoring; why Jamie Vardy never touches the ball; and how Mikel Arteta is wrong about win probability and Arsenal’s bad luck this season so far.

Let us know what you think in the comments.


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